CFP 12-team playoff projections: Texas wins not adding up

Texas lost a lot more than the top spot in the polls last week.Georgia delivered a resounding statement in Austin, taking down the Longhorns 30-15. The rabid tenor in Bulldogs coach Kirby Smart’s voice after the game affirmed that they came to Texas hungry to hush doubters.In the process, Georgia reclaimed top billing in the SEC and College Football Playoff pecking order.The Bulldogs also delivered a devastating shot to Texas’ bid to enter the first ever 12-team playoff with a bye that would currently belong to Georgia.At 6-1, there’s still time for the Longhorns to make good on that plan. But there are more steps — and variables beyond their control — because of a resume currently lacking a victory over a Top 25 team. Texas beat Michigan in Ann Arbor and roughed up rival Oklahoma. But neither team is currently ranked and the Wolverines are dropping in the Big Ten standings with all the weight of a deep-fried championship trophy.The resume is incomplete, but weak stacked against the rest of the top six in our projections. How the committee filets the overall product when the first rankings are revealed Nov. 5 will be fascinating largely because the Longhorns won’t have many profile-building opportunities the rest of October and November.Even so, a potential rematch with the Bulldogs in the SEC Championship remains on the table as the possible ticket back to one of the four opening-round byes in the playoffs. A loss in that game, especially another two-score defeat, could be devastating to Texas’ at-large hopes when Selection Sunday arrives Dec. 8.Here’s a look at the projected 12-team playoff two months before the four campus site matchups are scheduled to be played:FIRST FOUR (campus site first-round games)Dec. 20, 215 Ohio State12 Boise State–Winner vs. 4 Kansas State, Fiesta Bowl, Dec. 31—-Winner to Orange Bowl, Jan. 108 LSU9 Penn State–Winner vs. 1 Georgia, Sugar Bowl, Jan. 1—-Winner to Orange Bowl, Jan. 1010 Notre Dame7 Texas–Winner vs. 2 Oregon, Rose Bowl, Jan. 1